At the risk of blowing my own trumpet I got my early picks pretty much spot on (including predicting the demise of ATO). However it's now gametime so how are the BVN bookies thinking about the 2010 race? Let's roll the dice!
Womens L5 23rd April 2010
Relatively long odds reflect a weak womens field with a couple of dominant riders on teams of very different strengths.
Teter 5/1 fav- CvK can win solo or in a long sprint and has an OK team to keep her close. I don't see them attacking but will be there at the end. Teter are due a win and this should be the year.
Delta Gamma 6/1- Deep team but can they keep Half fresh enough to have enough to outpace CvK in the finale. Will look for an opportunity to go it alone late on.
Theta 6/1- Will be aggressive and need to be solo to win. Apparently there is a plan brewing and they have the firepower to implement it well. Dickman will be a L5 monster.
Kappa Kappa Gamma 8/1- L5 relevant again but will need to be solo to win. Coach Naas' recent pedigree is without equal so don't count them out.
Army 10/1- Quiet and always effective with no finisher or difference maker.
AGD 10/1- See Army....
Pi Phi 11/1- Brown is prepared for a 90+ lap effort and being on the lead lap would be a magnificent achievement. It's difficult to see it happen and Brown having an effective sprint finish. However they had longer odds last year......
Wing-It 12/1- TP indicated that they are coming to the boil at the right time but it's a year too soon for them.
Kappa Delta 12/1- The five year window is closing. We could see Balbach riding 70laps but she has never shown a killer instinct. Oh for Jenna Cerone.
Gamma Phi 15/1- Don't seem to have progressed since last year so a top 8 is their ceiling.
25/1- The Field. Every other team would be overjoyed with a top ten.
Mens L5 24th April
The three year domination of the Cutters casts a long shadow over the race. Other teams have been mostly quiet with 95% of the BVN comments concerning one team. Could the fraternal alliance become a reality?
Cutters 3/1 fav- Until someone shows they can beat them they must be favored. Don't let TP cloud your judgement as they are in good position. Even if Young has to do more laps than planned he is unbeatable if in position at the white flag.
PDT 7/2- Hard work behind the moto has taken this squad to another level and they will ride aggressively. If they can stay lucky and upright they roll 4 deep like few other teams.
Phi Psi 4/1- A four-deep team with Mercer desperate to be in it at the end. His talent on the final lap is somewhat a mystery and he could be the closest to Young.
BKB 4/1- Aside from Quays MnO they have had an anonymous spring but they are deep. Need to be solo to win and will hopefully try to make it happen.
Fiji 6/1- A dissapointing spring but showed well in TP so seem to be ready to go. An
alliance with PDT or Phi Psi to remove the GDIs would be fun to see.
Sigma Chi 8/1- Strong and deep but maybe a little too green to take the initiative needed to win the race. A fresh Morrow in the finale would be dangerous.
Gray Goat 8/1- Just don't to be able to put it together even with their obvious talent. Would need to be in a small group at the end to have a chance.
Beta 10/1- A remarkable turnaround from '09 and this will be an important learning experience on the road to really contending in 2011.
DTD 12/1- Found a good level after their big losses from '09. Coudright could be a good finisher although I'm sure wishes the 46*18 was a little larger!
Delta Chi 14/1- Another team with a steep learning curve who should be contending in 2011.
Acacia 15/1- Seem to be well prepared but have no standouts to rely on when the going gets real tough.
DU 16/1- DRR makes the guys a last lap contendor but will find it tough to get there with the leaders
Wright 18/1- A second top ten in 3 years is a possibility.
Hoosier Climber 18/1- Almost as green at the top level as their hair and a top ten would be a great result
Sigma Nu 20/1- These guys seem out of control so anything is possible! I like their style!
The Field 22/1- a few others may touch the top ten but not compete for the win.
3 days ago